Sports activities gambling can be very money-making if a person Know The particular secrets and techniques this “smart money” gamblers apply to continually make cash. Most significant secrets that wise money gamblers use is usually knowing when NOT to help Wagering.

Here’s a ideal example of this. I analyzed the particular Western world California vs. Louisville game, and concluded that will West Florida had typically the edge in the video game. Yet , I also noticed that there have been a great deal of random and capricious factors, and recommended to a clients that they accomplish not wager on this game. Here is my personal analysis I released before the game:

West Las vegas versus Louisville

This video game provides all the indicators of being one connected with the ideal games connected with the year, having equally teams coming into the action 7-0. It’s #3 ranked West Virginia vs. #5 ranked Louisville, equally along with high-scoring offenses and stingy defenses. Last year’s game was a classic, using Western Virginia coming back from becoming down large in the fourth fraction to winning in overtime.

So what’s the action look like this year?

In the event this video game were turning into played with some sort of basic field, West Virginia would certainly probably be a 4-6 stage favorite. Since the particular game is at Louisville, WVU is a 1-point underdog. Let’s see if this will make sense…

West Virginia will be on an unprecedented move. Many people haven’t lost since April. 1, 2005, going 14-0 since they misplaced to Virginia Tech. On the last two months they’re 13-5 ATS likewise. They’re also 7-2 OBTAIN THE in their last being unfaithful game titles overall, and 8-2 OBTAIN THE in their previous 10 HIGHWAY games.

All these are some very extraordinary stats that tilt the particular scales in favor connected with WVU with regard to tonight’s game. Plus, this additional bonus offer is that WVU is GETTING +1 point. This may not seem like very much, but in a near match-up such as this, that special point will make the variation between a push together with a loss.

But what concerning Louisville? are generally almost as good since WVU’s -except when that comes to Louisville within the point spread. In their own last 10 games, Louisville is merely 4-6 ATS. That will said, Louisville is even so 7-3 ATS within their last 10 home activities.

In addition to if you’re leaning to WVU, here’s a terrifying stat… Louisville hasn’t missing in the home since December 16, 2003! During this recent run Louisville is averaging 49. 5 points every game at your home, while averaging only letting go of 15. six points for every game at home. In case a person didn’t do the mathmatical, that means considering that their last home reduction they also have averaged beating their very own opponents by means of about 34 factors per game.

What’s more extraordinary, the average line in these games has only also been 21 points. That methods Louisville has beaten the get spread around, on average, by 13 factors per online game at home since the year 2003.

Wow… how can you go against that?

Here’s exactly how…

Nearly all of those stats were being built up during the 2005 season. Shock as to, 2006, Louisville has been nearer to good than great. They’ve got recent games through which they have already only scored 36, 3, 24 points. These online games weren’t against Iowa Street. or Michigan. They will had been against Cincinnati, Syracuse, together with Kansas St.

In essence that will this is still a good close match to get in touch with. Nonetheless the things i look with regard to is West Virginia’s protection to carry the time. If Cincinnati, Syracuse, plus Kansas St. can all hold Louisville under 40 points, then there’s simply no reason to think WVU can’t have one to typically the low to the middle of 20’s. My honest advice is to lay off that game and not gamble at all. There usually are better games this end of the week with more clear-cut rewards.

The final score on this game was Louisville 46, West Las vegas 34. Lousiville won because West California had 6 fumbles and even allowed Lousiville to gain the punt for some sort of TD. The results was that will West Virginia’s borders weren’t so big they will may possibly still win following producing so many mistakes. By simply not betting on this kind of match, people really serious concerning gambling saved money they will can offer better make use of on coming games.


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